Polymarket adds public company earnings predictions

Prediction market platform Polymarket is integrating real-time earnings forecasts through a partnership with social media platform Stocktwits, following U.S. regulatory approval. The integration begins with outcomes like “Will [Ticker] beat earnings?” displayed directly on ticker pages and streams, with a tap-through to Polymarket to access order books and settlement rules.

The roll-out starts in September 2025 for select U.S. users and introduces “mention markets” (tracking whether certain terms appear on earnings calls), along with curated collections and watchlists for upcoming reports. Stocktwits cites a community of roughly 10 million investors who will now see live, crowd-priced odds where they already chat and trade.

Prediction markets transform uncertainty into clarity by turning big questions – like earnings – into simple, tradable outcomes with transparent pricing,

said Matthew Modabber, chief marketing officer at Polymarket.

Partnering with Stocktwits allows us to put that power directly into the hands of millions of investors where they already live and engage, reshaping how markets process information.

On September 3, 2025, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) cleared Polymarket to re-enter the U.S. market. The CFTC also issued a related no-action letter covering event-contract reporting and recordkeeping for QCX, Polymarket’s U.S. exchange entity, and its clearinghouse, establishing the framework for legal U.S. operations.

The CFTC previously scrutinized Polymarket for several key reasons, which led to a 2022 settlement and paved the way for the company’s recent re-entry into the U.S. market. The core issues centered on the classification of Polymarket’s offerings and the company’s lack of proper registration.

Following the 2022 settlement, which included a $1.4 million fine, Polymarket agreed to block U.S. users. However, in late 2024, the Department of Justice and the CFTC reportedly launched new investigations to determine whether Polymarket had violated this agreement by allowing U.S. residents to access the platform through workarounds such as VPNs.

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